Optimistic climate mitigation scenario halves projected range loss in a neotropical dolphin

Rodrigo Tardin; Guilherme Maricato; Jeremy J. Kiszka; Mauricio Cantor; Israel Maciel; Gabriel Melo-Santos; Laura May-Collado; Ana Carolina Meirelles; Maria Isabel C. Goncalves; Fabio G. Daura-Jorge; Renata S. Sousa-Lima; Yvonnick Le Pendu; Benoit de Thoisy; Marta J. Cremer; Paulo Cesar Simoes-Lopes; Susana Caballero; Marcos R. Rossi-Santos; Maria Alice S. Alves; Diana C. Freitas; Marcos Cesar de Oliveira Santos; Renan L. Paitach; Hector Barrios-Garrido; Aline Athayde; Carla Beatriz Barbosa; Manuela Bassoi; Carolina P. Bertozzi; Joao Carlos Gomes Borges; Yurasi Briceno; Julio Cardoso; Tomaz Cezimbra; Kareen De Turris-Morales; Camila Domit; Salome Dussan-Duque; Ninive Edilia Espinoza-Rodriguez; Renata Ferreira; Luane Ferreira; Paulo A. C. Flores; Arlaine Francisco; Flavio Jose de Silva Lima; Marcio J. C. A. Lima Jr; Diana G. Lunardi; Natalia Mamede; Milton C. C. Marcondes; Stephane P. G. de Moura; Juliana R. Moron; Alexandre Paro; Nara Pavan; Monique Pool; Nathali Ristau; Angelica Rodrigues; Salvatore Siciliano; Isis Bezerra da Silva; Mariana Soares; Gustavo Toledo; Leonardo Wedekin; Mariana M. Vale

doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107800

Optimistic climate mitigation scenario halves projected range loss in a neotropical dolphin

Rodrigo Tardin
, Guilherme Maricato
, Jeremy J. Kiszka
, Mauricio Cantor
, Israel Maciel
, Gabriel Melo-Santos
, Laura May-Collado
, Ana Carolina Meirelles
, Maria Isabel C. Goncalves
, Fabio G. Daura-Jorge
, Renata S. Sousa-Lima
, Yvonnick Le Pendu
, Benoit de Thoisy
, Marta J. Cremer
, Paulo Cesar Simoes-Lopes
, Susana Caballero
, Marcos R. Rossi-Santos
, Maria Alice S. Alves
, Diana C. Freitas
, Marcos Cesar de Oliveira Santos

Renan L. Paitach, Hector Barrios-Garrido, Aline Athayde, Carla Beatriz Barbosa, Manuela Bassoi, Carolina P. Bertozzi, Joao Carlos Gomes Borges, Yurasi Briceno, Julio Cardoso, Tomaz Cezimbra, Kareen De Turris-Morales, Camila Domit, Salome Dussan-Duque, Ninive Edilia Espinoza-Rodriguez, Renata Ferreira, Luane Ferreira, Paulo A. C. Flores, Arlaine Francisco, Flavio Jose de Silva Lima, Marcio J. C. A. Lima Jr, Diana G. Lunardi, Natalia Mamede, Milton C. C. Marcondes, Stephane P. G. de Moura, Juliana R. Moron, Alexandre Paro, Nara Pavan, Monique Pool, Nathali Ristau, Angelica Rodrigues, Salvatore Siciliano, Isis Bezerra da Silva, Mariana Soares, Gustavo Toledo, Leonardo Wedekin, Mariana M. Vale

Department of Marine and Environmental Sciences

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

6 Scopus citations

Original language	English
Article number	107800
Number of pages	11
Journal	Ocean and Coastal Management
Volume	269
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107800
State	Published - Oct 2025

Keywords

CMIP6 projections
Climate emergency
Guiana dolphin
Marine protected areas
Sotalia guianensis
Species distribution modeling

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10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107800

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Tardin, R., Maricato, G., Kiszka, J. J., Cantor, M., Maciel, I., Melo-Santos, G., May-Collado, L., Meirelles, A. C., Goncalves, M. I. C., Daura-Jorge, F. G., Sousa-Lima, R. S., Le Pendu, Y., de Thoisy, B., Cremer, M. J., Simoes-Lopes, P. C., Caballero, S., Rossi-Santos, M. R., Alves, M. A. S., Freitas, D. C., ... Vale, M. M. (2025). Optimistic climate mitigation scenario halves projected range loss in a neotropical dolphin. Ocean and Coastal Management, 269, Article 107800. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107800

Tardin, R, Maricato, G, Kiszka, JJ, Cantor, M, Maciel, I, Melo-Santos, G, May-Collado, L, Meirelles, AC, Goncalves, MIC, Daura-Jorge, FG, Sousa-Lima, RS, Le Pendu, Y, de Thoisy, B, Cremer, MJ, Simoes-Lopes, PC, Caballero, S, Rossi-Santos, MR, Alves, MAS, Freitas, DC, Santos, MCDO, Paitach, RL, Barrios-Garrido, H, Athayde, A, Barbosa, CB, Bassoi, M, Bertozzi, CP, Borges, JCG, Briceno, Y, Cardoso, J, Cezimbra, T, De Turris-Morales, K, Domit, C, Dussan-Duque, S, Espinoza-Rodriguez, NE, Ferreira, R, Ferreira, L, Flores, PAC, Francisco, A, Lima, FJDS, Lima Jr, MJCA, Lunardi, DG, Mamede, N, Marcondes, MCC, de Moura, SPG, Moron, JR, Paro, A, Pavan, N, Pool, M, Ristau, N, Rodrigues, A, Siciliano, S, da Silva, IB, Soares, M, Toledo, G, Wedekin, L & Vale, MM 2025, 'Optimistic climate mitigation scenario halves projected range loss in a neotropical dolphin', Ocean and Coastal Management, vol. 269, 107800. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107800

@article{31c223b7a4864c228b09276b9bbba381,

title = "Optimistic climate mitigation scenario halves projected range loss in a neotropical dolphin",

keywords = "CMIP6 projections, Climate emergency, Guiana dolphin, Marine protected areas, Sotalia guianensis, Species distribution modeling",

author = "Rodrigo Tardin and Guilherme Maricato and Kiszka, \{Jeremy J.\} and Mauricio Cantor and Israel Maciel and Gabriel Melo-Santos and Laura May-Collado and Meirelles, \{Ana Carolina\} and Goncalves, \{Maria Isabel C.\} and Daura-Jorge, \{Fabio G.\} and Sousa-Lima, \{Renata S.\} and \{Le Pendu\}, Yvonnick and \{de Thoisy\}, Benoit and Cremer, \{Marta J.\} and Simoes-Lopes, \{Paulo Cesar\} and Susana Caballero and Rossi-Santos, \{Marcos R.\} and Alves, \{Maria Alice S.\} and Freitas, \{Diana C.\} and Santos, \{Marcos Cesar de Oliveira\} and Paitach, \{Renan L.\} and Hector Barrios-Garrido and Aline Athayde and Barbosa, \{Carla Beatriz\} and Manuela Bassoi and Bertozzi, \{Carolina P.\} and Borges, \{Joao Carlos Gomes\} and Yurasi Briceno and Julio Cardoso and Tomaz Cezimbra and \{De Turris-Morales\}, Kareen and Camila Domit and Salome Dussan-Duque and Espinoza-Rodriguez, \{Ninive Edilia\} and Renata Ferreira and Luane Ferreira and Flores, \{Paulo A. C.\} and Arlaine Francisco and Lima, \{Flavio Jose de Silva\} and \{Lima Jr\}, \{Marcio J. C. A.\} and Lunardi, \{Diana G.\} and Natalia Mamede and Marcondes, \{Milton C. C.\} and \{de Moura\}, \{Stephane P. G.\} and Moron, \{Juliana R.\} and Alexandre Paro and Nara Pavan and Monique Pool and Nathali Ristau and Angelica Rodrigues and Salvatore Siciliano and \{da Silva\}, \{Isis Bezerra\} and Mariana Soares and Gustavo Toledo and Leonardo Wedekin and Vale, \{Mariana M.\}",

year = "2025",

month = oct,

doi = "10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107800",

language = "English",

volume = "269",

journal = "Ocean and Coastal Management",

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AU - Tardin, Rodrigo

AU - Maricato, Guilherme

AU - Kiszka, Jeremy J.

AU - Cantor, Mauricio

AU - Maciel, Israel

AU - Melo-Santos, Gabriel

AU - May-Collado, Laura

AU - Meirelles, Ana Carolina

AU - Goncalves, Maria Isabel C.

AU - Daura-Jorge, Fabio G.

AU - Sousa-Lima, Renata S.

AU - Le Pendu, Yvonnick

AU - de Thoisy, Benoit

AU - Cremer, Marta J.

AU - Simoes-Lopes, Paulo Cesar

AU - Caballero, Susana

AU - Rossi-Santos, Marcos R.

AU - Alves, Maria Alice S.

AU - Freitas, Diana C.

AU - Santos, Marcos Cesar de Oliveira

AU - Paitach, Renan L.

AU - Barrios-Garrido, Hector

AU - Athayde, Aline

AU - Barbosa, Carla Beatriz

AU - Bassoi, Manuela

AU - Bertozzi, Carolina P.

AU - Borges, Joao Carlos Gomes

AU - Briceno, Yurasi

AU - Cardoso, Julio

AU - Cezimbra, Tomaz

AU - De Turris-Morales, Kareen

AU - Domit, Camila

AU - Dussan-Duque, Salome

AU - Espinoza-Rodriguez, Ninive Edilia

AU - Ferreira, Renata

AU - Ferreira, Luane

AU - Flores, Paulo A. C.

AU - Francisco, Arlaine

AU - Lima, Flavio Jose de Silva

AU - Lima Jr, Marcio J. C. A.

AU - Lunardi, Diana G.

AU - Mamede, Natalia

AU - Marcondes, Milton C. C.

AU - de Moura, Stephane P. G.

AU - Moron, Juliana R.

AU - Paro, Alexandre

AU - Pavan, Nara

AU - Pool, Monique

AU - Ristau, Nathali

AU - Rodrigues, Angelica

AU - Siciliano, Salvatore

AU - da Silva, Isis Bezerra

AU - Soares, Mariana

AU - Toledo, Gustavo

AU - Wedekin, Leonardo

AU - Vale, Mariana M.

PY - 2025/10

Y1 - 2025/10

KW - CMIP6 projections

KW - Climate emergency

KW - Guiana dolphin

KW - Marine protected areas

KW - Sotalia guianensis

KW - Species distribution modeling

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U2 - 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107800

DO - 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107800

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SN - 0964-5691

VL - 269

JO - Ocean and Coastal Management

JF - Ocean and Coastal Management

M1 - 107800

ER -

Optimistic climate mitigation scenario halves projected range loss in a neotropical dolphin

Keywords

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